Advocare 500

[rolltide]

went with johnson to win @10/1 and kenseth top 5 -120

Chase clinching scenarios at Atlanta …
Newman 1. Who can clinch? Ryan Newman and Kurt Busch can clinch spots in the Chase by finishing at least 20th and seventh, respectively.
2. What do Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Tony Stewart need to do? Both could clinch a spot on Sunday, but would need some help. However, if Junior averages a 15th-place finish over the next two races, he's guaranteed a spot in the Chase, while Stewart gets in if he averages a sixth-place finish. They might not need to finish that high, but if they do, they are in.
3. What about the wild card? There are too many scenarios to mention. Brad Keselowski would clinch a spot in the Chase (not necessarily via the wild card) by finishing sixth or better.

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Order Driver (No.) Car Qualifying Speed
1 Kasey Kahne (4) Toyota 186.196
2 Clint Bowyer (33) Chevrolet 185.922
3 Kyle Busch (18) Toyota 185.841
4 Brian Vickers (83) Toyota 185.772
5 Jeff Gordon (24) Chevrolet 185.735
6 Matt Kenseth (17) Ford 185.710
7 Carl Edwards (99) Ford 185.561
8 Martin Truex Jr. (56) Toyota 185.542
9 Ryan Newman (39) Chevrolet 185.486
10 Kurt Busch (22) Dodge 185.325
11 A J Allmendinger (43) Ford 185.288
12 Juan Pablo Montoya (42) Chevrolet 185.177
13 Denny Hamlin (11) Toyota 185.127
14 Brad Keselowski (2) Dodge 185.115
15 Greg Biffle (16) Ford 185.059
16 David Reutimann (00) Toyota 184.800
17 Jimmie Johnson (48) Chevrolet 184.462
18 Marcos Ambrose (9) Ford 184.272
19 David Ragan (6) Ford 184.015
20 Tony Stewart (14) Chevrolet 183.899
21 Kevin Harvick (29) Chevrolet 183.801
22 Paul Menard (27) Chevrolet 183.680
23 Bobby Labonte (47) Toyota 183.394
24 Joey Logano (20) Toyota 183.382
25 Jamie McMurray (1) Chevrolet 183.339
26 Regan Smith (78) Chevrolet 183.152
27 Jeff Burton (31) Chevrolet 183.121
28 Michael McDowell (66) Toyota 183.025
29 Dale Earnhardt Jr. (88) Chevrolet 182.898
30 Scott Speed (46) Ford 182.856
31 J.J. Yeley (38) Ford 182.500
32 Mark Martin (5) Chevrolet 182.440
33 Robby Gordon (7) Dodge 181.759
34 Joe Nemechek (87) Toyota 181.693
35 Dave Blaney (36) Chevrolet 181.437
36 David Gilliland (34) Ford 180.745
37 Landon Cassill (51) Chevrolet 180.575
38 Casey Mears (13) Toyota 180.252
39 Mike Skinner (60) Chevrolet 180.012
40 Mike Bliss (32) Ford 179.889
41 Travis Kvapil (55) Ford 179.872
42 Andy Lally (71) Ford 178.493
43 David Starr (195) Ford 179.737
44 Tony Raines (37) DNQ 179.592
45 David Stremme (30) DNQ 179.516
46 Geoffrey Bodine (135) DNQ 178.758
47 T.J. Bell (150) DNQ 178.643

 

[rolltide]

Matt Willis

The Eliminator: Atlanta edition
Most people just pick winners -- some by hunches, some by stats and some by just picking names off the top of their heads. I don't pick winners; I pick losers. I'll make my race pick by telling you why all but one driver in the field just can't win.

1. The last 19 Atlanta winners entered the race 19th or higher in points (28 eliminated, 19 remaining).

2. The last five and eight of the last nine Atlanta winners had at least 10 previous career wins (five eliminated, 14 remaining).

3. The last eight and 11 of the last 12 Atlanta winners finished in the top 12 in the most recent California race (five eliminated, nine remaining).

4. The last six fall Atlanta winners finished in the top 11 in the most recent Michigan race (five eliminated, four remaining).

5. The last five fall Atlanta winners finished in the top 11 in the most recent Las Vegas race (one eliminated, three remaining).

6. The last five and eight of the last nine Atlanta winners had a previous Atlanta win. (two eliminated, one remaining).

Your winner: Carl Edwards.

 

[Mosi]

Good luck Tide. cannot argue with 10 to 1 on Jimmie.

 

[rolltide]

oh well

looked forward to the night race but weather doesn't look promising at all. likely a rain out...

 

[rolltide]

just saw on pre-race that they will wait as late as 10pm to start tonight to get this thing in. tomorrow's a literal wash out so if they don't get it in tonight they're looking at late tue or even wed to race

Important Practice Notes: Denny Hamlin scraped the wall during first practice but didn’t get any major damage. Brad Keselowski had a piece of debris puncture an oil pan during that session as well but I don’t think they had to change the engine (will update if they do). Kyle Busch scraped the wall (just barely) in Happy Hour and had very minimal damage to his right rear.

The top five drivers in the first practice session were:
1. Brad Keselowski – 187.722 mph
2. Denny Hamlin – 186.679 mph
3. Clint Bowyer – 185.016 mph
4. Martin Truex, Jr. – 184.911 mph
5. Mark Martin – 184.794 mph
Complete rankings of practice one can be found by clicking here.
The five fastest over ten consecutive laps in first practice were:
1. Martin Truex, Jr. – 179.291 mph
2. Jamie McMurray – 179.117 mph
3. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. – 178.813 mph
4. Jimmie Johnson – 178.420 mph
5. Kurt Busch – 178.382 mph

In Happy Hour, the five fastest drivers were:
1. Jeff Gordon – 182.392 mph
2. Tony Stewart – 181.979 mph
3. Clint Bowyer – 181.675 mph
4. Brad Keselowski – 180.669 mph
5. Greg Biffle – 180.557 mph
Complete rankings of this practice can be found by clicking here.
In terms of ten-lap average, the following were fastest in Happy Hour:
1. Tony Stewart – 176.630 mph
2. Brad Keselowski – 175.863 mph
3. Kurt Busch – 175.259 mph
4. Kevin Harvick – 175.100 mph
5. Matt Kenseth – 175.008 mph

AVERAGE PRACTICE SPEEDS:

Average practice speeds are calculated by taking the average speed of each driver in each practice and multiplying it by the number of laps ran. When you do this for each practice and add the totals together, and then divide by the total number of laps ran, you get an average of their practice speed, instead of just the one lap statistic you see when you look at practice sheets. The order that they are in is the overall average speeds rank of the two practice session combined.

Kevin Harvick at 174.649 mph over 62 laps
Carl Edwards at 174.568 mph over 50 laps
Dave Blaney at 174.232 mph over 29 laps
A.J. Allmendinger at 174.222 mph over 84 laps
Clint Bowyer at 174.140 mph over 62 laps
David Ragan at 174.107 mph over 77 laps
Tony Stewart at 174.084 mph over 92 laps
Juan Montoya at 174.083 mph over 54 laps
Martin Truex, Jr. at 174.056 mph over 88 laps
Matt Kenseth at 174.005 mph over 89 laps
Denny Hamlin at 173.908 mph over 70 laps
David Gilliland at 173.828 mph over 29 laps
Kyle Busch at 173.725 mph over 82 laps
Jamie McMurray at 173.587 mph over 76 laps
Jeff Gordon at 173.474 mph over 80 laps
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. at 173.472 mph over 88 laps
Bobby Labonte at 173.465 mph over 53 laps
Paul Menard at 173.440 mph over 82 laps
Jimmie Johnson at 173.426 mph over 87 laps
Ryan Newman at 173.261 mph over 76 laps
Marcos Ambrose at 173.217 mph over 79 laps
Greg Biffle at 173.127 mph over 85 laps
Mark Martin at 173.106 mph over 84 laps
Jeff Burton at 173.073 mph over 70 laps
Kasey Kahne at 172.942 mph over 77 laps
David Reutimann at 172.866 mph over 72 laps
Joey Logano at 172.584 mph over 104 laps
Brad Keselowski at 172.514 mph over 86 laps
Mike Bliss at 172.498 mph over 40 laps
Kurt Busch at 172.488 mph over 116 laps
Brian Vickers at 172.383 mph over 90 laps
Regan Smith at 172.345 mph over 82 laps
Casey Mears at 171.639 mph over 37 laps
Andy Lally at 170.611 mph over 62 laps
Landon Cassill at 169.905 mph over 73 laps
Go-or-Go-Homer’s Average Speeds:
Mike Skinner at 178.259 mph over 8 laps
Joe Nemechek at 176.420 mph over 10 laps
Michael McDowell at 176.324 mph over 12 laps
David Stremme at 176.176 mph over 12 laps
Robby Gordon at 175.670 mph over 7 laps
Travis Kvapil at 175.425 mph over 16 laps
Scott Speed at 174.945 mph over 17 laps
J.J. Yeley at 173.212 mph over 27 laps
Tony Raines at 172.728 mph over 17 laps
David Starr at 172.696 mph over 24 laps
Geoff Bodine at 172.640 mph over 18 laps
T.J. Bell at 171.273 mph over 23 laps